There is a 1 : 100 000 probability that Non-Covid deaths fell to 7,708 in Q1-2021based on a statistical analysis of 2010 to 2021 deaths.
This is a clear indication that the deaths were unnaturally re-attributed to Covid-19.
There was a large 13.5%± drop in Q1-2021 Non-Covid1 deaths attributed deaths clearly re-attributed to Covid-19 explaining the small excess deaths and very large, artificial, 19.5% Covid-19 deaths re-attribution.
Q1-2021 excess deaths estimated at between 3.1% and 7.4% (280 to 650, respectively). This is FAR LOWER than the 19.3% of Covid-19 attributed deaths (1,846) as per CSO First Quarter Report of 2021.
- 3.1% increase in deaths (~280 when Q1-2018 used [9,278] compared to Q1-2021 [9,564])
- 7.4% increase in deaths (~650 when the previous four year average used [8,909])
- deaths below 65 were exactly average with deaths above 65 increasing 500~ above the 5-year average but just 320~ above Q1-2018
A small percentage of excess deaths are noted but not statistically significant (while being significant of course to each and every family).
The massive attribution to Covid-19 overshadows the report.
Re-Attribution of All Cause Deaths to Covid-19
Every single Non-Covid1 cause of death (Cancer, Circulatory, Respiratory, Dementia) saw an abnormal drop from all previous year’s first quarter deaths.
- respiratory deaths saw a highly notable 37.5% drop in deaths from 2020 to 2021
- there is clearly a reattribution of deaths from other causes to Covid-19
- the 81.7 average age of death from Covid-19 with 90%+ having serious underlying conditions demonstrates that many of these deaths are purely down to reclassifications based on the WHO2 rules for Covid-19 death reattribution
Moderate Increase in 65+ Deaths
When we look at the deaths above and below 65, we can clearly see that deaths below 65 in Q1-2021 were exactly average.
Deaths above 65 increased just 500~ above the 5-year average and just 320 above Q1-2018.
± normalised death statistics by total population which grew by 500K since 2010